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Home/Real Estate/PENDING HOME SALES INDEX · PAYMENT FOR ORDER FLOW SEC

Social Security COLAs can mask a loss in total buying power

RL

Robin Lockwood

pending home sales index · Apr 14, 2026

Social Security COLAs can mask a loss in total buying power

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Retirees may experience a net loss in buying power despite receiving a larger Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA). This occurs because most retirees do not depend solely on Social Security, as benefits replace only around 40% of pre-retirement income.

Related Brief1d ago
retirement planning

The 35-Year Earning Windows That Cap Social Security Benefits

A hypothetical monthly Social Security check of $4,640 for Harrison Ford would be the result of the lapping of cost-of-living adjustments on a maximum benefit of $3,266 established in 2012. This calculation assumes the actor began receiving benefits at age 70 in 2012. The Social Security Administration calculates disbursements based on the top 35 earning years of a worker's life. The average Social Security retirement benefit is $2,071 per month.

To supplement this income, seniors withdraw funds from 401(k)s or savings accounts. These accounts do not have automatic inflation adjustments. When inflation is high, funds in those accounts often lose value, particularly for retirees who maintain conservative investments to ensure they can pay their bills.

Related Brief8h ago
retirement planning

Social Security's 2.8% COLA Forecast Leaves Retirees Exposed to Inflation

Social Security beneficiaries may find a 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) offers little to no help in covering everyday expenses, according to a survey of beneficiaries. The Senior Citizens League predicts a 2.8% COLA for 2027. This adjustment is calculated based on the inflation rate. Annual inflation recently reached a two-year high of 3.3%, driven by soaring oil prices caused by the war in Iran. These oil prices increase transportation and manufacturing costs for businesses, which raises consumer prices for gas, plastic products, and fertilizers. Between 2010 and 2024, the COLA outpaced the inflation rate in only five years. 68% of beneficiaries say the 2.8% adjustment offers little to no help in covering everyday expenses.

Social Security benefits are adjusted annually to account for rising prices based on year-over-year changes to the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). When the CPI-W shows that the average prices of a basket of goods and services have increased, retirees receive a benefits bump equal to that percentage increase. This mechanism ensures that Social Security benefits do not lose buying power, but it does not protect the rest of a retiree's portfolio.

Related Brief9h ago
retirement planning

Medicare’s 2026 premium hike erases Social Security’s COLA for many retirees

For many retirees, the 2.8% Social Security cost-of-living adjustment in 2026 will deliver no actual increase in income. The standard Medicare Part B premium has risen to $202.90 per month, up from $185.00 in 2025 — a $17.90 jump that is deducted directly from Social Security checks. For the average retiree collecting $2,071 monthly, the COLA adds $56 before Medicare. After the premium increase, the net gain is about $39. But for retirees with smaller benefits, the math is worse. A monthly check of $600 receives a COLA of just $16.80 — less than the premium hike. Under the 'hold harmless' provision, those beneficiaries won’t see their checks shrink, but they also won’t see any raise. Their entire COLA is absorbed by Medicare. Higher-income retirees face steeper cuts. Those with MAGI of $500,000 or more (or $750,000+ for joint filers) pay an IRMAA surcharge of $487.00 on top of the base premium, bringing their total Part B cost to $689.90 per month. For these beneficiaries, the surcharge can erase the entire 2.8% COLA increase.

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