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Home/Markets & Investing/PAYMENT FOR ORDER FLOW SEC · SEC ENFORCEMENT ACTION

Prosecutors turned away at Fed renovation site as Trump presses to fire Powell

TA

Theo Ashford

payment for order flow SEC · Apr 16, 2026

Prosecutors turned away at Fed renovation site as Trump presses to fire Powell

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Federal prosecutors showed up unannounced this week at the Federal Reserve’s headquarters construction site, seeking access to the $2.5 billion renovation project under investigation. They were turned away by contractors and directed to Fed attorneys. The visit underscores the Trump administration’s continued pursuit of an inquiry that has already been deemed pretextual by a federal judge.

Related Brief2d ago
monetary policy

One rate cut is all that's left on the table as inflation shocks and political pressure collide at the Fed

One rate cut is all that remains within reach for the Federal Reserve this year, and even that is uncertain. Inflation pressures from a global supply shock — triggered by the six-week Iran conflict — have already pushed U.S. consumer prices to their fastest rise in nearly four years, driven by a record surge in gasoline and diesel. Crude oil prices have jumped more than 30%, feeding directly into household budgets and hardening inflation expectations. Short-term inflation expectations have ticked up, and the Fed, meeting in March, held its benchmark rate steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range. Still, a majority of policymakers signaled at least one cut could be appropriate in 2024. Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, speaking at the HSBC Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong, said that if she were attending the next FOMC meeting, she would write down one cut — later in the year — as her best guess. Yet markets have moved even further away from that view: traders have now priced out any chance of a 2024 cut, reversing earlier bets on two. The shift reflects not just inflation but growing concern over political interference. Former President Donald Trump has launched an aggressive campaign to pressure the Fed, criticizing Chair Jerome Powell and pushing to replace him with Kevin Warsh, whom Trump believes would deliver steep rate cuts. Trump has also targeted the Fed’s headquarters renovation, sending prosecutors from Jeanine Pirro’s office to inspect the project over cost concerns. Yellen, who chaired the Fed from 2014 to 2018, called the level of political pressure unprecedented, describing it as a threat to the central bank’s independence. With inflation limiting monetary flexibility and political forces testing institutional boundaries, the path to easier policy has narrowed to a single, fragile possibility.

The investigation, led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro’s office, focuses on cost overruns in the Fed’s building upgrades—now estimated at $2.5 billion, $600 million more than the 2022 projection of $1.9 billion. Yet last month, a senior deputy in Pirro’s office acknowledged in a closed-door hearing that no evidence of criminal wrongdoing had been uncovered. U.S. District Judge James Boasberg concluded the probe was not genuinely about the renovation. Robert Hur, counsel for the Fed’s board, told prosecutors they cannot bypass that finding by showing up unannounced at a construction site. “Should you wish to challenge that finding, the courts provide an avenue for you; it is not appropriate for you to try to circumvent it,” Hur wrote.

Related Brief2d ago
monetary policy

A surprise Justice Department raid on the Federal Reserve raises the specter of compromised rate decisions

Financial markets may have operated on an uneven playing field if Federal Open Market Committee deliberations were leaked before public announcements. The Federal Reserve controls the benchmark interest rate that sets borrowing costs across the economy—from mortgages to corporate debt. When federal prosecutors made an unannounced visit to the Fed’s offices on April 15, 2026, it signaled that investigators believed evidence could be altered or destroyed without immediate intervention. Such a move is rare, especially at the central bank, and points to a potential breach of one of the most sensitive processes in finance. The probe may involve advance disclosures of rate decisions, giving select traders a powerful informational edge. That would undermine the integrity of every rate decision made during the period under scrutiny. Bond yields reacted sharply as markets began pricing in reputational and operational risks at the Fed, while foreign investors now face added uncertainty about the reliability of U.S. financial institutions. Confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence is not just a matter of policy—it is a structural component of global capital flows. That confidence is now, for the first time in decades, a measurable financial risk.

President Trump confirmed he intends to keep the investigation alive and reiterated his threat to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell if Powell remains on the central bank’s board after his term as chair ends next month. Powell has said he will stay on as chair of the Fed’s rate-setting committee until a successor is confirmed, following historical precedent. His term as a Fed governor expires May 15, but his seat on the board lasts until January 2028. Trump has long criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates quickly enough to stimulate the economy, framing the renovation inquiry as a justification for removal. Powell, in turn, has argued the investigation is a cover to erode the Fed’s independence in setting monetary policy.

Related Brief2d ago
trade policy

Tariffs Could Return by July—But Rate Cuts May Be Needed Even Sooner

Reimposing Section 301 tariffs would increase import costs for goods from targeted countries. Higher import costs could be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for certain goods. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that Section 301 tariffs could be reimposed at previous levels by early July. The U.S. Supreme Court ruled President Trump’s retaliatory tariffs unlawful earlier this year. In response, the Trump Administration imposed a 10% tariff on various countries under Section 122 of the Trade Act. Section 301 of the Trade Act allows the U.S. to impose additional tariffs in response to unfair trade practices. A rate cut would reduce borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. The Fed’s benchmark rate is currently held at 3.50–3.75%. Bessent argued that core inflation, excluding food and energy, is falling. Falling core inflation creates room for the Federal Reserve to cut its benchmark interest rate. Lower borrowing costs would support consumer spending and business investment.

The probe has already had tangible consequences: Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, has pledged to block Trump’s nominee to replace Powell, Kevin Warsh, until the investigation is dropped. With the committee narrowly divided, Tillis’s stance is enough to stall confirmation. The panel has scheduled a hearing on Warsh’s nomination for April 21.

Related Brief5h ago
mortgage rates

Mortgage Rates Drop to 6.3%, but Uncertainty Over Iran Conflict Limits Spring Housing Market Recovery

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. fell to 6.3% this week, the lowest level since March 19, when it was 6.22%. The decline follows a two-week ceasefire in the war with Iran, which initially pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.29% from 4.34%. The 10-year Treasury yield is a key benchmark for mortgage pricing and had risen to 4.29% in midday trading. The war with Iran caused energy prices to surge, raising inflation concerns and pushing mortgage rates up from 5.85% in late February to a peak of 6.37%. The U.S. housing market remains in a slump, with previously owned home sales at a 30-year low and no clear recovery in sight. Consumer confidence in the job market has weakened, compounding the effect of high borrowing costs on the spring homebuying season. Economists expect mortgage rates to remain volatile due to ongoing uncertainty about the war's resolution.

Meanwhile, the Supreme Court is weighing a related challenge involving Fed Governor Lisa Cook, whom Trump sought to remove over disputed mortgage fraud allegations. Lower courts have allowed her to remain in office during litigation. In January, the Supreme Court appeared skeptical of unfettered presidential power to remove Fed officials, noting the central bank is a 'uniquely structured, quasi-private entity.' A decision could redefine the boundaries of political influence over monetary policy. The court has permitted removals of other agency heads at presidential discretion but has treated the Fed differently—so far.

Related Brief18h ago
social security

Social Security's 2027 COLA formula creates a gap between benefit growth and inflation

Average retirees could see monthly benefit increases of 30 to 40 dollars. This modest growth is based on 2027 COLA predictions ranging between 2.2 percent and 2.4 percent. The Social Security Administration uses CPI-W data from the third quarter of the year to calculate the adjustment. Because inflation cooled earlier in that measurement period, the averaging formula offsets recent price jumps in rent and healthcare.

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