Home builders cut back as material costs erase margins
WH
Wilder Holloway
new home sales data · Apr 16, 2026
Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal
Home builders are scaling back as rising material costs erase profit margins and make pricing new homes nearly impossible. In April, builder confidence fell four points to 34, the lowest level since September, according to the National Association of Home Builders. The index has remained below 50 — the threshold separating positive from negative sentiment — for two consecutive years.
The primary pressure: construction materials. Nearly two-thirds of builders, 62%, say material costs have risen due to higher fuel prices driven by the war with Iran. Building materials climbed 3.1% over the past year, with a 0.4% increase between February and March alone. That volatility is hitting bottom lines — 70% of builders report difficulty setting prices with such uncertainty.
Demand is not helping. The buyer traffic index dropped to 22 in April, the weakest reading since last September. New and existing home sales are both down sharply. The spring market, typically the busiest season, has failed to gain momentum. “The year started with hopes for housing momentum growth, but risks with respect to the Iran war, energy costs, and declines for consumer confidence have slowed the market,” said NAHB Chairman Bill Owens.
Regionally, sentiment is weakest in the West, where the index fell to 29, followed by the South at 35, the Midwest at 41, and the Northeast at 42. All regions remain below the 50 threshold, signaling builders across the U.S. view market conditions as poor.
A potential reprieve looms. The U.S. Department of Commerce signaled it may reduce tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber from 35.16% to 24.83%. A final decision is expected within the next 120 days. If implemented, the reduction could ease material costs and restore some pricing stability for builders later this year.
new home sales data
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