R obinhood is targeting a 40% inactivity rate that occurs after first funding. The company selected Pinwheel as the direct deposit launch partner for its banking platform to reduce the friction associated with account onboarding.
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fintech Prediction Markets Drive 12% of Robinhood's Total Revenue
Robinhood's prediction markets accounted for approximately 12% of the company's total revenue in 2025. This growth follows the integration of Kalshi's prediction markets into the Robinhood app in March 2025. The move is part of a broader shift toward prediction markets, which Bernstein estimates will grow from $51 billion in annual volume in 2025 to $1 trillion by 2030. Cantor Fitzgerald and Bernstein analysts identify Robinhood and Coinbase as the primary public market beneficiaries of this expansion, with Coinbase having offered the same markets since January. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev described the trend as a "prediction markets supercycle."
Robinhood will implement Pinwheel’s PreMatch technology to enable near-instant direct deposit setup during account opening.
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cryptocurrency Crypto Stocks Surge as Risk-On Returns and Capital Flows Back Into High-Beta Bitcoin Proxies
Capital is now rotating into the highest-beta equity proxies across the crypto ecosystem, not just Bitcoin itself — a shift that reveals how investors are positioning for leverage in a recovering risk environment. As $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ reclaimed $75,000 on Tuesday, shares of $Robinhood (HOOD.US)$, $Strategy (MSTR.US)$, $Coinbase (COIN.US)$, $Circle (CRCL.US)$, and $SoFi Technologies (SOFI.US)$ led gains, while miners like $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$, $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$, and $CleanSpark (CLSK.US)$ surged alongside them. This broad-based rally reflects a synchronized rebound across the entire crypto value chain. Risk appetite improved as markets priced in a lower chance of Middle East escalation, pulling oil prices back and easing pressure on risk assets. High-beta assets — including tech stocks and Bitcoin — responded in kind. At the same time, the latest PPI data came in below expectations, tempering concerns about persistent inflation and further rate hikes. Softer producer prices signal that cost pressures are not accelerating, creating a more hospitable environment for liquidity-sensitive assets like digital currencies. Real capital is returning: recent data shows net inflows into digital asset investment products, with Bitcoin-related products capturing the bulk of demand. This isn’t just sentiment — it’s real allocation. The structure of the rally further reveals investor preference. Flows are favoring equities that offer amplified exposure to Bitcoin’s price moves. Trading platforms benefit directly from higher volumes and user activity. Infrastructure players like Circle gain from clearer stablecoin regulation and industry expansion. Miners and leveraged holders like Marathon, Riot, and Strategy see outsized gains as rising BTC prices boost their balance sheets and projected earnings. Markets are now pricing crypto not as a speculative bet, but as part of financial infrastructure. Still, the move remains a macro-driven recovery — not a resolved breakout. Geopolitical risks, inflation, and oil prices remain volatile. The rally is real, but its durability depends on conditions that have yet to fully stabilize. The terminal consequence is that investors are repricing crypto assets from pure trading instruments toward components of financial infrastructure, even as volatility remains a defining feature.
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