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Home/Markets & Investing/ROBINHOOD

Robinhood lawsuit seeks to shift event contracts from state gambling laws to federal oversight

EC

Elliot Caldwell

Robinhood · Apr 9, 2026

Robinhood lawsuit seeks to shift event contracts from state gambling laws to federal oversight

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Robinhood users in Washington state can no longer access event-based contracts after state regulators restricted the products. The restriction stems from Washington's classification of these products as wagering on uncertain outcomes, which fits the state's definition of gambling.

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Robinhood excludes mention markets to block insider trading in prediction bets

Robinhood excludes mention markets where traders bet on specific words in speeches to block the misuse of private or sensitive information. The company expects $300 million in annual revenue from its expansion into prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi. By avoiding these specific contracts, the firm reduces its exposure to legal and reputational risks associated with insider trading. The move follows cases where individuals were charged with using classified military information or leaked Nobel Peace Prize details to place bets. Robinhood partners with Kalshi, which requires identity verification and adherence to U.S. rules, unlike rival Polymarket, which allows trading via crypto wallets without full identity checks.

Robinhood filed a federal lawsuit on March 30, 2026, against the state attorney general and the Washington State Gambling Commission to challenge the block. The company argues that event contracts are financial instruments structured as derivatives, which would place them under federal oversight via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

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Robinhood's Growth Strategy Targets a User Base That Has Never Experienced a Bear Market

A deep bear market could materially alter the trajectory of Robinhood's business. The company has been public since 2021 and its customers have only invested in markets that have generally risen. The average Robinhood user's age is 31. Robinhood focuses on bringing new assets into the market by introducing investing to people who have never invested before. The company was selected as one of two companies to launch Trump accounts to introduce children to investing. If history is any guide, many of these new and young investors may be scared out of the market in the event of a deep and lingering downturn and never return.

This legal strategy follows a recent ruling by the US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, which held that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws for certain event contracts. Robinhood is seeking a similar outcome in the Pacific Northwest to avoid a fragmented regulatory model where products are banned state-by-state. A victory would establish a unified federal framework for prediction markets.

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KBW Raises Robinhood Target Price to $75 While Maintaining Hold Rating

The target price for Robinhood is now $75. This follows an adjustment by KBW analyst Kyle Voigt, who raised the target price from $60 to $75 while maintaining a hold rating for the stock.

Robinhood

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