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Home/Real Estate/FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYER AFFORDABILITY

The generational housing lockout is widening the wealth gap — but a coming wave of inheritance could reset the market

ZW

Zane Weston

first-time homebuyer affordability · Apr 9, 2026

The generational housing lockout is widening the wealth gap — but a coming wave of inheritance could reset the market

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Many younger Americans spend up to 50% of their income on housing costs, far exceeding the traditional 28% guideline. Spending so much on housing leaves less room to save for a down payment or qualify for a mortgage. The longer young buyers delay homeownership, the harder it is to build equity over time.

Related Brief9h ago
real estate

Southern Cities Offer the Lowest Entry Barrier for First-Time Homebuyers

First-time homebuyers find the lowest barriers to entry in the South, where the top five cities for new buyers are located. Zillow analyzed the 50 largest metro areas in the US, measuring rent affordability, the share of affordable for-sale listings, buyer competition, and the number of households aged 29 to 43. The top 10 cities include Birmingham, San Antonio, Houston, St Louis, Detroit, and Baltimore. These cities offer a combination of affordable rent, affordable home listings, and affordable housing supply that reduces the demand pressure on entry-level buyers.

Americans ages 70 and older now control more than $12.5 trillion in real estate wealth. The share of real estate wealth held by Americans ages 40 to 54 has declined or remained flat. The median age of a first-time homebuyer is now about 40, more than a decade older than in the 1970s.

Related Brief1d ago
housing market

Saskatchewan homebuyers face record prices and a two-month supply of homes as national trends diverge

Saskatoon has less than a two-month supply of homes available for sale. If no new homes enter the market, the city will run out of available inventory within that window — a reality that is pushing prices higher and forcing buyers to act fast or risk being priced out. The provincial benchmark price of a home has risen to $374,100, up from $363,800, with Saskatoon’s benchmark hitting a record $435,200 and Regina’s reaching $343,700. Saskatchewan’s inventory levels are 50% below normal for this time of year. That scarcity is fueling intense competition: some homes are selling within hours, and the average overbid is now between $34,000 and $36,000, with some offers soaring as high as $120,000 above asking. First-time buyers like Patrick Arno are finding it difficult to match their wish lists, forced to compromise or act aggressively. Real estate agents report that buyers are submitting pre-approval letters, offering flexible possession dates, increasing deposits, and even writing personal appeals to sellers — tactics now essential in a market where price alone doesn’t guarantee success. While British Columbia, Alberta, and Ontario see prices and demand fall amid rising inventory, Saskatchewan’s market is moving in the opposite direction. “We should expect upward pressure on prices,” said Saskatchewan Realtors Association CEO Chris Guérette, noting the market is tightening just before the busiest season. The divergence underscores a fragmented national housing landscape, where localized supply constraints, not broad economic trends, are now the primary drivers of affordability.

Younger generations face rising home prices, higher mortgage rates and mounting debt, including student loans, credit cards and car loans. Baby Boomers have surpassed middle-aged Americans in total real estate holdings for the first time on record.

Related Brief2d ago
real estate

Charlotte first-time homebuyers are waiting until age 40 to enter the market

First-time homebuyers under 40 are unable to find affordable homes in preferred locations. This delay in entry is driven by the median home price in Charlotte, which now sits at $405,000. The barrier for entry is higher due to student loan debt and the difficulty of saving for a down payment. According to data from Realtor.com, the average age of a first-time homebuyer has climbed to 40.

About 48 million Baby Boomers are expected to pass away over the next 20 years. Up to 80% of Baby Boomers own real estate and 15% own multiple properties. A slow drip of real estate will enter the market as older homeowners pass down assets. Increasing inventory from the "Great Wealth Transfer" could ease pressure on home prices over the next two decades. Younger buyers who have long been priced out may gain new opportunities to enter the housing market.

Related Brief1d ago
real estate

Canadian Home Prices and Sales Face Projected Year-Over-Year Declines

Existing home sales and average prices in Canada are estimated to decline 1.5 per cent year-over-year for March. This data, scheduled for release on April 16, accompanies an estimate that the MLS Home Price Index for March will drop 5.0 per cent year-over-year.

first-time homebuyer affordability

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