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Home/Markets & Investing/FED INTEREST RATE DECISION

Students were approved for loans. Now they must repay them — because universities misclassified courses

JF

Jude Falconer

Fed interest rate decision · Apr 12, 2026

Students were approved for loans. Now they must repay them — because universities misclassified courses

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Thousands of students who were approved for maintenance loans to fund their higher education now face demands to repay every penny — not because they misrepresented their eligibility, but because their universities misclassified their courses.

David Robinson, a nurse who completed a one-year postgraduate diploma in adult nursing at Edge Hill University, received a £10,538 maintenance loan to cover living costs during full-time study and clinical placements. The funding was approved by the Student Loans Company (SLC) and relied upon as legitimate financial support. Now, he’s been told it was never valid.

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Consumer sentiment has reached its lowest level on record. This result follows the biggest monthly jump in inflation since 2022, which was driven by surging energy prices. Oil futures reached a record high of more than $144 a barrel and gasoline prices rose over $4 a gallon. These price shocks were caused by a six-week war in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The Federal Reserve is now expected to delay its return to a neutral rate of the current 3.5% to 3.75% range to around 3%. Allspring Global Investments expects one predicted rate cut to be pushed into 2027.

The SLC has determined that one-year postgraduate courses like Robinson’s are not routinely eligible for maintenance loans. But the error wasn’t his. His university — along with dozens of others — incorrectly categorised the course as eligible under funding rules. The SLC now says those courses fell under distance learning regulations, which disqualify them from such support.

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A fragile ceasefire is holding global growth at 2.9% — and inflation at 4.2% — as oil prices pull the world economy between $65 and $170 extremes

Global economic growth is expected to slow to 2.9% in 2026, down from 3.4% the previous year, as geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict continue to weigh on activity and push inflation toward 4.2%. A fragile ceasefire has so far kept oil prices below $100 per barrel, but the range of possible outcomes remains vast — from $65 in a de-escalation scenario to $170 if conflict intensifies. That divergence could alter global GDP by more than $1 trillion in 2026 alone. Energy markets are the central fulcrum: rising fuel costs are already feeding through to production and transportation, with early inflation data from Europe and the U.S. showing renewed price acceleration. Bloomberg’s growth tracker, which synthesizes data from 18 economies using machine learning, captured a sharp reversal in March after stronger performance earlier in the year. Central banks, caught between slowing growth and persistent inflation, are expected to pause rate adjustments in the second quarter before resuming gradual cuts later in 2026. The global economy is no longer reacting to a single shock but to the sustained drag of uncertainty — where the difference between peace and war is priced in barrels, measured in trillions.

Robinson is not alone. Around 22,000 students on weekend, part-time, and franchised college-taught courses have received repayment notices. Among them is teaching assistant Lou Osborne, who took out a £3,500 maintenance loan for an accelerated education degree at the University of Sunderland. She used the money for books and transport while working full-time. Now she’s been told to repay it immediately, with interest — and no long-term plan offered.

A mother of three in her fifties, studying health and social care through a franchised college in London, faces repaying more than £20,000. She said she couldn’t sleep after learning the final loan installment was cancelled and the rest might be clawed back. Her course, awarded by Oxford Brookes University, was taught on weekends under contract by a private provider.

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The SLC says a “small number” of institutions incorrectly categorised courses as non-distance learning. It claims it will work with students to set up “affordable repayment plans where appropriate.” But for many, the damage is already financial and psychological.

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Another round of interest rate increases is expected from the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.9 percent monthly increase in consumer prices for March, the fastest rise since the COVID-19 period. Year-over-year inflation for all items reached 3.3 percent, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2 percent in March and stands at 2.6 percent year-over-year. Energy prices are elevated due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian control over the waterway. The Fed is unlikely to discount energy price increases as transitory given the geopolitical instability. Persistent high energy prices risk entrenching inflationary expectations. The Federal Reserve is unlikely to ease monetary policy in the near term.

Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson has acknowledged the fault lies not with students but with universities — “through either incompetence or abuse of the system.” She urged institutions to support those now facing hardship.

Some universities, including Edge Hill and Oxford Brookes, have expressed concern and are considering legal action. They argue that students were approved through official channels and acted in good faith. Their qualifications remain valid, the universities say, even as the funding behind them is revoked.

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Students used these loans to pay for essentials during study. Many chose these courses specifically because they allowed them to work while training for new careers in nursing and teaching. The retrospective reversal — after funds were spent and education completed — upends the basic assumption that approved student finance can be relied upon.

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Higher oil prices from Strait of Hormuz closure push inflation to 3.56%, threatening tech valuations

Monthly inflation has risen from 2.4% in February to 3.56% in April, driven by a sharp increase in crude oil prices after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz in response to U.S. and Israeli military actions. The closure disrupted global oil exports, triggering one of the largest energy supply shocks in modern history. Higher transportation and production costs have rippled through the economy, and inflation is now projected to exceed 4% according to the Cleveland Fed. That outlook has upended expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The stock market entered 2026 with its second-highest valuation in 155 years, priced on the assumption of continued monetary easing. With the Federal Open Market Committee now unlikely to lower interest rates, sectors dependent on cheap capital—especially artificial intelligence and technology—face mounting valuation pressure.

The final consequence: students who followed the rules now face repaying thousands, not because they broke them, but because the institutions that enrolled them did.

Fed interest rate decision

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