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Home/Markets & Investing/MICHAEL BURRY

Michael Burry maintains short position on Palantir despite Trump endorsement

RR

Riley Reeves

Michael Burry · Apr 10, 2026

Michael Burry maintains short position on Palantir despite Trump endorsement

Source: The Digital Ledger Data Terminal

Michael Burry maintains put options on Palantir Technologies Inc. as the stock recovered from a 6% intraday drop to close 2% lower following an endorsement from President Donald Trump on Truth Social. Burry has been short the stock since the fall, rolling his positions several times.

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Anthropic's ARR growth reveals Palantir's scale inefficiency

Palantir stock faces a forecasted multiyear decline. This projection follows Michael Burry's identification of Anthropic's annual recurring revenue climbing from $9 billion to $30 billion in a few months. Burry notes that enterprises are shifting toward cheaper and more intuitive AI solutions. Palantir took 20 years to reach $5 billion in annual recurring revenue. Burry has positioned for this decline through long-dated put options.

President Trump's endorsement of the company's war-fighting capabilities and equipment helped the stock stage a recovery. Burry, however, maintains his bearish stance, as he believes the stock remains wildly overvalued despite a 38% decline from its 52-week high of $207.52 in November 2025.

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Michael Burry’s Palantir Short Points to a $77 Gap Between Price and His Estimate of Fundamental Value

Palantir stock traded at approximately $127 per share on Friday, more than double Michael Burry’s estimate of its fundamental value. Burry holds long-dated put options on the company with strike prices of $50 and $100, including June 2027 $50 puts and December 2026 $100 puts, and has no plans to exit the position. He believes the stock’s intrinsic worth is well under $50 per share, creating a gap of over $77 between current price and his valuation. The difference underscores a stark divergence between market sentiment and Burry’s assessment. He has maintained this bearish stance since the fall of 2025, rolling the position multiple times. Despite a recent post by President Trump praising Palantir’s “great warfighting capabilities” on Truth Social, the stock remains down about 28% in 2026. Palantir has secured new government contracts and expanded its work with the Pentagon during Trump’s second term, yet Burry sees no justification for its premium valuation.

He now owns June 17, 2027, Strike Price 50 Puts and December 19, 2026, Strike Price 100 Puts. He stated that he is not selling these today.

Related Brief1d ago
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Palantir’s $100 support breaks as war premium unwinds and Michael Burry’s $46 target looms

Palantir’s stock is now tracking toward $100 after breaking below key technical support, as the short-term boost from geopolitical risk unwinds and scrutiny over valuation intensifies. The retreat follows the collapse of the ‘war premium’ that lifted shares earlier this year, when escalating tensions involving Iran raised expectations for increased defense and intelligence spending. Palantir, with its established role in government and military contracts, was a primary beneficiary of that surge. But the announcement of a ceasefire has reversed the narrative, cooling speculative demand and exposing underlying concerns. Michael Burry’s public critique amplified the shift, drawing attention to Anthropic’s rapid revenue growth and questioning whether Palantir can justify its premium valuation amid rising competition. His $46 price target now looms as a bearish reference. Even as the company reports strong revenue across commercial and government segments, the market is no longer rewarding growth without clear paths to profitability. Investor focus has pivoted to capital efficiency, and Palantir’s reliance on government contracts introduces added sensitivity to political and budgetary cycles. Technically, the breakdown below the 50-week simple moving average has shifted momentum, with former support levels now acting as resistance. A failed rebound at the 100-day moving average near $155 confirmed selling pressure, and a break below the 200-day moving average would clear the way for a retest of $100 as the next major downside threshold.

Michael Burry

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