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Home/Markets & Investing/MICHAEL BURRY

Michael Burry bets $912 million against Palantir as Anthropic captures 73% of new enterprise AI spend

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Atlas Villiers

Michael Burry · Apr 9, 2026

Michael Burry bets $912 million against Palantir as Anthropic captures 73% of new enterprise AI spend

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Palantir stock fell between 7% and 8% after investor Michael Burry claimed the company is being outpaced by AI startup Anthropic. Burry, who holds put options on approximately five million shares of Palantir expiring in 2027, disclosed a short position valued at $912 million through Scion Asset Management in the third quarter of 2025.

Related Brief3d ago
ai valuation

Anthropic captures 73% of new enterprise AI spending as Palantir loses ground

Nearly one in four businesses on the financial platform Ramp now pay for Anthropic. A year ago, this figure stood at one in 25. This shift is driven by the the plug-and-play AI tools that businesses can integrate faster than the complex systems provided by Palantir. According to investor Michael Burry, 73% of new enterprise AI spending is going to Anthropic, with 73% of new paying customers choosing Claude over OpenAI. Anthropic's annual recurring revenue surged from $9 billion to $30 billion in just months, a pace that contrasts with Palantir's 20-year climb to $5 billion in revenue. Over the same period, OpenAI experienced a 1.5% decline in business customers. Palantir shares fell about 6% on the week's Wednesday. The company trades at a forward earnings multiple well above sector averages.

Burry's critique centers on a shift in enterprise AI adoption. Citing data from corporate spend tracker Ramp, Burry stated that Anthropic is capturing 73% of all new enterprise spending. He contrasted the two companies' growth trajectories, noting that Anthropic's annual recurring revenue rose from $9 billion to $30 billion in months, while it took Palantir 20 years to reach $5 billion in revenue.

Related Brief3d ago
ai investing

Enterprise AI Spending Is Pivoting to User-Friendly Models, Not Legacy Platforms

Enterprise AI spending is now favoring platforms that are easy to integrate and scale, not those built on complex, custom architectures. Michael Burry's assessment positions Anthropic as the emerging leader in this shift, overtaking Palantir in relevance. Anthropic's growth stems from rising demand for accessible, scalable AI—exemplified by its Claude model—which aligns with the operational pace of modern businesses. Enterprises no longer want to wait months for tailored deployments; they want AI that works out of the box. Palantir’s model, built on intensive data integration and long deployment cycles, is increasingly misaligned with that need. As companies redirect budgets toward faster, more flexible tools, market valuations will follow. Business Insider reports this transition could redefine growth benchmarks for AI investment.

The disagreement lies in the scalability of the two business models. Palantir employs Forward Deployed Engineers to work directly within client organizations over extended periods. Palantir's 10-K filing labels these efforts as professional services, which Burry characterizes as a low-margin consulting model reliant on human labor. In contrast, Anthropic's plug-and-play API allows companies to integrate AI functionality without on-site staffing or prolonged implementation.

Related Brief1d ago
short selling

Michael Burry’s Palantir Short Points to a $77 Gap Between Price and His Estimate of Fundamental Value

Palantir stock traded at approximately $127 per share on Friday, more than double Michael Burry’s estimate of its fundamental value. Burry holds long-dated put options on the company with strike prices of $50 and $100, including June 2027 $50 puts and December 2026 $100 puts, and has no plans to exit the position. He believes the stock’s intrinsic worth is well under $50 per share, creating a gap of over $77 between current price and his valuation. The difference underscores a stark divergence between market sentiment and Burry’s assessment. He has maintained this bearish stance since the fall of 2025, rolling the position multiple times. Despite a recent post by President Trump praising Palantir’s “great warfighting capabilities” on Truth Social, the stock remains down about 28% in 2026. Palantir has secured new government contracts and expanded its work with the Pentagon during Trump’s second term, yet Burry sees no justification for its premium valuation.

This vulnerability was highlighted when the Trump administration mandated federal contractors to remove Anthropic's Claude AI from their systems following a jurisdictional dispute over safety guidelines with the Pentagon. Palantir was compelled to excise Claude from its Maven Smart Systems and rebuild affected sections of the platform.

Related Brief2d ago
equities

Anthropic's ARR growth reveals Palantir's scale inefficiency

Palantir stock faces a forecasted multiyear decline. This projection follows Michael Burry's identification of Anthropic's annual recurring revenue climbing from $9 billion to $30 billion in a few months. Burry notes that enterprises are shifting toward cheaper and more intuitive AI solutions. Palantir took 20 years to reach $5 billion in annual recurring revenue. Burry has positioned for this decline through long-dated put options.

Despite these headwinds, Palantir reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.4 billion, up 70% year over year, with U.S. commercial revenue rising 137% to $507 million. The stock currently trades at approximately 142 times expected earnings, the third-highest multiple in the S&P 500.

Related Brief2d ago
artificial intelligence

Anthropic's Managed Agents Target Palantir's High-Cost Integration Model

Palantir shares fell 6.2% on Wednesday and another 7% on Thursday. The decline follows the beta release of Managed Agents, a cloud-based product for deploying AI agents on Anthropic's Claude platform. Managed Agents is a simpler and less expensive alternative to Palantir's Foundry platform, which typically requires consultants and an extensive integration process. Anthropic is targeting the software licensing business that supports Palantir's commercial growth.

Michael Burry

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