Fed Officials Consider Rate Hikes to Counter Middle East Energy Price Surges

The target range for the federal funds rate may be adjusted upward. This possibility is reflected in a new two-sided description of future interest-rate decisions. The Federal Open Market Committee held the benchmark policy rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75% during its March 17-18 meeting, but policymakers now worry that prolonged conflict in the Middle East will lead to persistent increases in energy prices. Global energy costs surged for three weeks following that meeting. Because inflation has run above target for five years, officials noted that long-term inflation expectations may become more sensitive to these energy price increases. This volatility leads to persistent increases in underlying inflation, which may prompt officials to consider raising interest rates if inflation remains above target levels.