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Home/Markets & Investing/CRYPTO IRS RULING · BITCOIN ETF

Bitcoin’s Price Bounce Hides a Market Losing Interest

HF

Hayden Fitzgerald

crypto IRS ruling · Apr 9, 2026

Bitcoin’s Price Bounce Hides a Market Losing Interest

Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal

Bitcoin’s recent climb to $72,700 did not bring buyers back to the market — it scared them off. The number of addresses depositing Bitcoin on exchanges has collapsed to a 30-day average of 31,000 per day, a ten-year low that matches activity levels last seen in 2017 and falls far below the annual average of 47,000. Historically, such a sharp drop signals fading interest in advanced stages of a bear market.

Related Brief1d ago
cryptocurrency

Bitcoin's Rally to $73,000 Masked by Falling Trading Volume and Rising Inflation

Centralized exchange trading volume fell 48% from its October 2025 peak to $4.3 trillion in March, coinciding with a price rise to $73,085. Gasoline prices rose 21.2% in March, the largest monthly increase since the 1967. Headline CPI climbed to 3.3% year over year, up from 2.4% in February. These figures signal that inflation risks persist. The Federal Reserve is pressured to keep rates elevated. This creates pressure on risk assets including Bitcoin.

The price spike occurred on April 8, 2026, following news of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran, sparking a short-lived ‘buy the news’ reaction. But the rally lacked follow-through. By the next morning’s Asian trading session, Bitcoin had retreated below $71,000. The on-chain data tells a clearer story than price alone: spot trading volume on Binance remains below the 1.0 relative volume baseline, reflecting soft demand. Futures activity has also weakened.

Related Brief20h ago
fintech

Payment giants are integrating blockchain into existing rails to make crypto invisible

Users will eventually trigger blockchain-based transfers by swiping Visa, Mastercard, and American Express cards. Visa has integrated stablecoins into its payment processing systems and currently processes stablecoin settlements in 50 countries. The company also launched Intelligent Commerce Connect, a tool that enables AI agents to participate in automated business transactions. This function relies on stablecoins and tokenized assets. Visa uses its proprietary tokenization platform to convert credit card numbers and transaction details into secure, anonymous tokens.

Glassnode described the environment as ‘subdued and low-conviction,’ with the recovery occurring inside the bear market value zone. Even as Bitcoin ETF flows turned modestly positive, they were not enough to offset broader apathy. The number of depositing addresses is a proxy for market engagement — and it is evaporating. Total crypto market capitalization slipped 1.3% to $2.49 trillion as most altcoins, including XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin, posted losses. Bitcoin’s bounce was noise. The silence in trading activity is the signal.

Related Brief2d ago
cryptocurrency

A $2 billion surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest doesn’t predict price—liquidity and geopolitical tension do

Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest each surged by over $2 billion as U.S.-Iran tensions fueled speculative positioning in crypto derivatives. The increase reflects aggressive bets in futures and options markets—but not a guaranteed rally. Open interest measures outstanding derivative contracts, not actual buying pressure in spot markets. At 34.5¢, a YES share for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31 pays $1 if the target is met, implying roughly a 34.5% market-implied probability. Moving that market by five points requires $2,908 in volume—a manageable threshold. The $150,000 market is far thinner, with just $792 able to shift prices by the same margin, making it highly susceptible to volatility or manipulation. Over the past day, only $3,490 in USDC changed hands across these markets, underscoring that activity remains concentrated in leveraged speculation, not broad-based demand. Geopolitical risk is amplifying the move, with investors using crypto as a perceived hedge. But real momentum will depend on institutional catalysts: MicroStrategy’s acquisition patterns, ARK Invest’s positions, or an SEC decision on ETF approvals. Without those, the open interest surge is noise, not signal.

crypto IRS rulingBitcoin ETF

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