Binance shifts to access layer for prediction markets to bypass counterparty risk
NC
Noa Crane
Binance · Apr 9, 2026
Source: DojiDoji Data Terminal
Users can now trade real-world outcome probabilities using their existing Binance account balances. The feature requires the opening of a separate Prediction Account, powered by keyless Multi-Party Computation (MPC) wallet technology that removes the need for seed phrases and manual transaction signing.
Binance is covering the BNB Smart Chain gas fees for these trades, allowing users to fund positions using stablecoins like USDT from their spot or funding accounts. Shares in outcomes across sports, economics, and crypto trade between $0.01 and $0.99; a share priced at $0.80 implies an 80% probability, and correct outcomes settle at $1.
The integration connects users to Predict.fun, a BNB Smart Chain DApp that has processed more than $1.8 billion in cumulative volume. Predict.fun manages the event creation, pricing, and settlement of outcomes. By acting as the access layer for the third-party platform, Binance avoids acting as the bookmaker or counterparty.
Binance Wallet Services are provided by Binance Barbados Limited and are not supervised by the Financial Services Regulatory Authority or any regulatory body. The feature is not accessible in every region.
Binancecrypto IRS ruling
The Ledger Morning
The essential intelligence to start your trading day. Delivered 6:00 AM EST.
Join 50,000+ professionals who start their day with The Digital Ledger.