AI Earnings Forecasts Lower U.S. Tech Valuations Relative to Broader Market
Growth-sensitive assets are now the primary target for reallocation as the 12-month forward valuation of U.S. IT stocks relative to other sectors hits its lowest level since mid-2020. BlackRock has upgraded U.S. and emerging markets equities from neutral to modest overweight. To fund the shift, the firm is reducing its preference for front-end euro area government bonds, which previously served as cash-like holdings. This tactical move follows a surge in earnings expectations. LSEG data projects an 80% earnings boost for the semiconductor industry in 2026. U.S. tech sector earnings growth forecasts for 2026 now stand at 43%, up from 26% the prior year. BlackRock is reallocating funds toward growth-sensitive assets.
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