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Home/Markets & Investing/FED INTEREST RATE DECISION

AI Agents Make Human Users Obsolete — So SaaS Stocks Lose $2 Trillion

HS

Hazel Stratton

Fed interest rate decision · Apr 11, 2026

AI Agents Make Human Users Obsolete — So SaaS Stocks Lose $2 Trillion

Source: The Digital Ledger Data Terminal

If 10 AI agents can do the work of 100 employees, why buy 90 software subscriptions? That question erased $2 trillion from the SaaS industry in a year. The catalyst was Anthropic’s Mythos — an AI model that doesn’t just automate tasks but replaces the human users on whom SaaS pricing depends. Markets didn’t wait for a product launch. They priced in the obsolescence of per-seat licensing the moment Mythos proved it could act autonomously at scale.

Related Brief19h ago
energy markets

Oil dips and stocks split on fragile hope in US-Iran talks

Elevated energy prices are directly affecting inflation and household purchasing power. The war in the Middle East, which disrupted global energy supplies, has pushed US consumer prices to their highest increase in nearly four years. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for one-fifth of global oil and gas — remains at a fraction of pre-war levels, with most ships still linked to Iran. The US and Iran agreed to a cease-fire ending the six-week conflict, the worst energy-supply disruption in history, but markets remain on edge. Oil prices remain high despite a Friday dip: US crude settled at $96.57 a barrel, down $1.30, while Brent finished at $95.20. The slight retreat in oil followed scheduled peace talks, but the underlying cost pressure persists. US crude oil futures dipped $1.30 to $96.57 a barrel on Friday as markets reacted to scheduled US-Iran peace talks.

Mythos didn’t need to be released to trigger the collapse. It demonstrated the ability to identify and exploit vulnerabilities buried for decades — a 27-year-old flaw in OpenBSD, a 16-year-old defect in FFmpeg scanned 5 million times without detection. More alarming, it showed ‘logical evolution,’ chaining low-level system flaws into full machine takeovers without human guidance. For banks and enterprises, that undermines the value of firewalls, intrusion detection, and the entire defensive stack sold by cybersecurity giants.

Related Brief1d ago
stock market analysis

MSFT stock trades at $373 in April 2026, anchoring market stability amid inflation and rate uncertainty

Higher inflation and elevated interest rates increase borrowing costs and reduce liquidity in the US stock market. Growth stocks face valuation pressure due to higher discount rates on future earnings. MSFT stock trades near $373 in April 2026, supported by strong cash flow and diversified revenue streams. The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates near 5.25 percent in early 2026. Brent Crude Oil prices hover near $87 per barrel, contributing to inflationary pressure. Microsoft reports earnings per share of approximately $15.99, reflecting consistent profitability. MSFT's leadership in AI and cloud computing strengthens customer retention and recurring revenue. MSFT stock provides stability to the NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 amid broader market volatility. Technology sector resilience, led by MSFT, supports long-term investor confidence despite macroeconomic headwinds.

Investors reacted first. Zscaler plunged 8.8%. CrowdStrike and Cloudflare dropped 5% to 7%. Adobe, Workday, Salesforce — all fell between 3.7% and 6.8%. The S&P 500 Software and Services Index shed 25.5% over 12 months. The sell-off spread to Europe: SAP, Capgemini. It reached private credit markets, where funds like Carlyle faced redemptions over exposure to overvalued tech.

Related Brief2d ago
monetary policy

Rate Cuts Possible in 2026—If Inflation Falls and Geopolitics Cooperate

Traders are now holding back on major moves until clearer signals emerge on inflation and geopolitical developments. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% in April 2026. Policymakers indicated that rate cuts could occur in 2026 if inflation continues to trend toward the Fed's 2% target. Some Fed officials support rate cuts amid slowing job growth, while others warn of potential hikes if inflation remains elevated. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran are creating uncertainty for supply chains, energy prices, and economic stability. The Fed's uncertainty has led to a 'wait and see' approach ahead of the next policy meeting. Market pricing as of April 2026 gives a 75.6% probability that rates will remain unchanged through the end of 2026. A rate cut would increase liquidity, potentially boosting risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The December 2025 rate cut of 25 basis points triggered a surge in crypto market activity.

Then came the summons. Treasury Secretary Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Powell called an emergency meeting with Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo CEOs. No public agenda. No prior notice. The concern wasn’t market volatility. It was that an AI model could unravel the economic logic underpinning trillion-dollar software firms — not through hacking, but by making their customers’ human workforce, and thus their licensing model, redundant.

Related Brief2d ago
financial markets

Stocks surge on relief over Hormuz ceasefire as oil plunges below $100

Equity markets surged yesterday as oil prices collapsed below $100 a barrel following a two-week ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, lifting fears of a prolonged disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The S&P 500 rose 1.92% to 6,744.40, the Nasdaq jumped 2.29% to 22,522.33, and the Dow added 1,017.69 points, as investors rushed back into risk assets. The rally reflected a rapid repricing of geopolitical risk, with market participants interpreting the drop in oil as a signal that the global economy could avoid a near-term energy shock. US crude fell 14.92% to $96.15 a barrel, while Brent crude dropped 12.99% to $95.08—sharp corrections from recent highs, though both remain well above pre-war levels. Lower oil prices eased inflation concerns, which in turn increased the perceived likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 7.2 basis points to 4.271%, and the 2-year yield, a proxy for rate expectations, declined 6.8 basis points to 3.769%. European bond markets mirrored the move, with traders scaling back bets on further European Central Bank hikes. The dollar index slipped to 98.80, its lowest in weeks, as the currency’s war-driven strength—fueled by the US position as a net energy exporter—began to unwind. The euro rose 0.85% to $1.1691, and the yen gained ground against the dollar. Gold, often a hedge against uncertainty, rose 0.82% to $4,740.92 an ounce, suggesting investors remained cautious despite the relief. The ceasefire’s brevity and conflicting statements from both sides underscore the fragility of the agreement. Gold rose 0.82% to $4,740.92 an ounce as investors balanced relief with ongoing uncertainty about the ceasefire's durability.

Anthropic responded by withholding Mythos from public release. Instead, it launched 'Project Glasswing' with Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft, and Cisco — a secret initiative to control the model’s deployment. The $2 trillion loss wasn’t a crash. It was a repricing. The SaaS era wasn’t ended by competition. It was made obsolete by agents that don’t need seats, licenses, or human oversight.

Related Brief1h ago
monetary policy

Oil Price Spikes Establish a Higher-for-Longer Interest Rate Floor

Borrowing costs will remain elevated for longer. The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 3.5% to 3.75% during its March 18 policy meeting. The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target remains a distant goal. Chair Jerome Powell cited inflation concerns and uncertainty from the war in the Iran war. Brent crude oil prices rose nearly 6% to around $105 a barrel, following geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East that had briefly pushed prices above $85 a barrel. March headline inflation is projected to rise 0.9% month-over-year, the largest jump since June 2022, reaching 3.4% year-over-year. Borrowing costs will remain elevated costs for longer.

Fed interest rate decision

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